Badania rynku energii

Badania rynku energii

SIS Międzynarodowe badania rynku i strategia


Energy is the lifeblood of modern society, powering our homes, businesses, and industries. But the energy landscape is profoundly transforming in today’s rapidly changing world. With the rise of renewable energy, digital technologies, and sustainability initiatives, the energy market is evolving at an unprecedented pace.

How can businesses navigate this complex and dynamic landscape to stay ahead of the curve?

Why Energy Market Research Now Drives Capital Allocation

The traditional planning cycle assumed stable load growth, predictable fuel curves, and slow technology substitution. All three assumptions have collapsed. Data center demand, industrial electrification, and heat pump penetration are reshaping load shapes in ways historical regressions miss. Levelized cost of energy analysis for solar vs wind now has to account for curtailment, ancillary revenue, and hybrid configurations, not nameplate economics.

Leadership teams that outperform are running rolling primary research on offtaker willingness to pay, siting acceptance, and competitor pipeline conversion rates. They treat these inputs as leading indicators for capacity factor optimization and PPA structuring decisions.

Renewable Energy Market Analysis Beyond LCOE

Levelized cost is a floor, not a strategy. The projects clearing today compete on shape, firmness, and locational value. That means renewable energy market analysis must incorporate nodal price forecasts, congestion patterns in the grid interconnection queue, and the value of renewable energy certificates in voluntary and compliance markets.

Corporate offtakers, led by hyperscalers such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, have moved past standard virtual PPAs toward 24/7 carbon-free energy matching. That shift changes what a bankable contract looks like. It also changes what a competitive bid looks like. Developers still pricing on annualized volumetric matching are losing to those pricing hourly.

The best assessments of investment risk in renewable energy projects now stress-test three variables together: basis risk, shape risk, and counterparty concentration. A single-tenant PPA with a hyperscaler looks safer than it is once you model the merchant tail after year twelve.

The Energy Transition in Numbers

Where global energy capital is flowing as the world moves toward a new age of electricity

Source 1: World Energy Investment Report
Source 2: SIS International Energy Market Research

The energy storage market has bifurcated. Short-duration lithium-ion is a commodity race led by CATL, BYD, LG Energy Solution, and Tesla. Long-duration storage, spanning flow batteries, compressed air, thermal, and gravity, is a strategic race where the winners are not yet decided. Market entry strategy for battery storage solutions has to specify which duration segment, which revenue stack, and which interconnection posture.

Ancillary services markets saturate faster than developers model. Frequency regulation revenues in ERCOT, PJM, and CAISO have compressed as storage megawatts stacked in. The projects earning durable returns layer capacity payments, energy arbitrage, and resource adequacy contracts. Standalone merchant pro formas have narrow windows before they need reunderwriting.

Major Markets for Energy

Three countries will do tremendous work in renewables over the next few years. The three are China, the USA, and India. China is the definite growth leader among the three. That country accounts for almost half of the total global clean energy mix. Meanwhile, renewable capacity will double in India over the next few years. India's electricity access has shown tremendous growth, especially in rural areas. In the late 2020s, the USA will export more oil than it imports. That country is finding cost-effective ways to unlock new resources. Those resources will raise their output.

Grid modernization consulting has moved from SCADA upgrades to distributed energy resource integration, advanced distribution management systems, and non-wires alternatives. Utilities that build a DER management system capability early are capturing the transition. They monetize hosting capacity, sell flexibility services, and defer feeder upgrades.

The competitive landscape for supercritical CO2 turbines, small modular reactors, and long-duration storage will be shaped by three factors: interconnection queue reform, capacity market design, and industrial decarbonization mandates. Vendors positioning across all three, rather than optimizing for one, are winning early anchor deployments with utilities including Dominion, Southern Company, and E.ON.

The Four-Signal Framework for Energy Investment Decisions

SignalWhat It RevealsPrimary Research Input
Offtaker willingnessDepth and price of demand for firm, clean, or hourly-matched productB2B expert interviews with procurement and sustainability leads
Interconnection postureRealistic COD and cost adders for queue positionRegulatory intelligence and ISO/RTO stakeholder mapping
Technology substitutionPace at which incumbent assets get displaced or repoweredOEM roadmap interviews and installed base analytics
Community acceptanceSiting, permitting, and tax negotiation frictionEthnographic research and local stakeholder interviews

Leading Players in the Energy Sector

SIS Międzynarodowe badania rynku i strategia

Several leading players wield significant influence and drive innovation in the highly dynamic energy sector. These companies span various segments of the industry and play pivotal roles in shaping the energy landscape:

• ExxonMobil: As one of the largest publicly traded international oil and gas companies, ExxonMobil operates across the entire energy value chain, from exploration and production to refining and marketing. With a global presence and extensive reserves, ExxonMobil is a key player in the oil and gas industry and is known for its technological expertise and operational excellence.

• Royal Dutch Shell: Royal Dutch Shell, commonly known as Shell, is another major player in the oil and gas industry. Its operations span upstream exploration and production, downstream refining and marketing, and integrated gas activities. Shell is also actively investing in renewable energy, electric vehicle charging infrastructure, and low-carbon technologies, positioning itself as a leader in the energy transition.

• NextEra Energy: NextEra Energy is a leading clean energy company and North America's largest renewable energy generator. Through its subsidiaries, including Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and NextEra Energy Resources, the company operates wind, solar, nuclear, and natural gas power plants and energy storage projects. Through its investments in renewable energy and grid modernization, NextEra Energy is driving the transition to a low-carbon future.

• Enel: Enel is a global energy company and one of the largest integrated utilities in the world, operating across multiple continents. The company is a leader in renewable energy, with a significant portfolio of wind, solar, hydroelectric, and geothermal assets. Enel also invests in grid modernization, energy storage, and digitalization initiatives to enhance grid reliability and support the transition to clean energy.

• Tesla: Tesla, led by visionary entrepreneur Elon Musk, is a pioneer in electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage, and solar energy solutions. The company manufactures electric cars, batteries, and solar panels to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy. Tesla's innovative products, including the Tesla Powerwall and Powerpack, drive the adoption of renewable energy and decentralize the energy grid.

Utility Business Model Transformation and the Platform Opportunity

Utility business model transformation is real where regulators allow performance-based ratemaking, shared-savings mechanisms, and platform revenue. New York's REV proceeding, the UK's RIIO framework, and California's demand flexibility rulemaking have created openings for utilities to earn on outcomes, not just rate base. The utilities capturing this, including National Grid, Xcel, and Iberdrola, are running structured VOC programs with commercial and industrial customers to design tariffs the market will actually adopt.

The future of demand response program design is behavioral, automated, and integrated with DER portfolios. Static peak-shaving programs are being replaced by dynamic dispatch across residential batteries, smart thermostats, EV chargers, and industrial loads. The market research that supports this is granular customer segmentation, not aggregate load studies.

Opportunities in Energy Market Research

The evolution of the energy industry, combined with robust market research, presents many opportunities for forward-thinking businesses. Here's how companies can leverage these opportunities:

• Personalized Energy Solutions: Understanding specific consumer needs allows companies to offer tailored energy solutions. Be it home energy storage systems or customized energy-saving plans.

• Partnerships and Collaborations: As traditional energy providers look to diversify, energy market research can guide them in identifying potential partners in the renewable sector, tech startups, or even with competitors for shared grid solutions.

• Market Expansion: Energy market research identifies underserved markets or regions ripe for introducing new energy solutions, products, or services.

• Training and Development: By understanding industry trends and technological advancements through energy market research, companies can design training programs to upskill their workforce, keeping them relevant and competitive.

• Sustainable Branding: In an era where consumers value sustainability, energy market research can guide businesses in their green branding endeavors, helping them highlight their eco-friendly initiatives and attract a conscious customer base.

Where Energy Capital Is Flowing

Annual global investment by category, in billions of dollars, with clean energy on one side and fossil fuel supply on the other

Clean energy Fossil fuels

Source 1: World Energy Investment by Category
Source 2: SIS International Energy Market Research

Challenges of Energy Market Research 

SIS Międzynarodowe badania rynku i strategia

Energy market research offers an array of challenges and complexities that businesses need to navigate such as:

• Data Complexity: Energy data is often voluminous and intricate. Analyzing data from diverse sources, including sensors, grids, and consumer behavior, requires sophisticated tools and expertise.

• Regulatory Hurdles: The energy sector is highly regulated, and policies can change rapidly. Navigating these regulatory frameworks while conducting energy market research can be challenging.

• Interdisciplinary Expertise: Energy market dynamics encompass technology, economics, and policy. Businesses may struggle to find experts who deeply understand these multidisciplinary aspects.

• Market Volatility: Energy markets are notoriously volatile. External factors such as geopolitical events or natural disasters can disrupt research findings and impact decision-making. Energy markets are influenced by geopolitical tensions and conflicts, which can introduce significant uncertainties in energy market research.

• Sustainability Challenges: Companies conducting research in the energy sector face increasing pressure to align with sustainability goals. Balancing profitability with environmental responsibility is challenging.

Industry Attractiveness: Porter's Five Forces Analysis of the Energy Market

Porter's Five Forces framework provides a systematic approach to assessing the attractiveness and competitiveness of an industry. When applied to the energy market, the following factors come into play:

  1. Zagrożenie ze strony nowych podmiotów: The energy market is characterized by high barriers to entry due to significant capital requirements, regulatory complexities, and economies of scale. Existing players benefit from established infrastructure, long-term contracts, and resource access, making it challenging for new entrants to penetrate the market.
  2. Siła przetargowa dostawców: In the energy sector, suppliers of raw materials, equipment, and technology wield considerable bargaining power, particularly in segments such as oil and gas exploration and production. Large suppliers, such as oilfield service companies and equipment manufacturers, may have leverage over energy companies, influencing pricing, terms, and supply availability.
  3. Siła przetargowa kupujących: Energy buyers, including utilities, industrial consumers, and residential customers, exert varying degrees of bargaining power depending on market conditions and regulatory frameworks. Utilities may have limited bargaining power in regulated markets due to government oversight and rate-setting mechanisms.
  4. Threat of Substitute Products: The energy market faces a growing threat from substitute products and technologies, particularly in the renewable energy sector. Solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources offer cleaner, more sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, challenging the dominance of traditional energy sources. Additionally, advances in energy storage, electric vehicles, and energy efficiency technologies further accelerate the adoption of substitutes, reshaping the competitive landscape of the energy market.
  5. Intensywność rywalizacji konkurencyjnej: Competitive rivalry is high in the energy market, driven by price competition, market consolidation, and technological innovation. Established players compete for market share, investment opportunities, and resource access, leading to mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partnerships. Furthermore, regulatory changes, geopolitical tensions, and market volatility contribute to the intense competition, requiring companies to differentiate their offerings and adapt to changing market conditions.

Baner bloga AI

What Elite Energy Market Research Programs Do Differently

The best programs share four traits. They combine secondary market sizing with primary B2B expert interviews across the full buying committee. They run competitive intelligence continuously, not episodically. They pair quantitative surveys with ethnographic work at industrial sites and control rooms. They tie every research question to a specific capital allocation decision.

SIS International Research has run energy market research engagements across North America, Brazil, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia for OEMs, utilities, IPPs, and investors, using market entry assessments, competitive intelligence, and structured expert interview programs. The through-line across four decades of work is that the operators who invest in primary evidence before capital commitment consistently outperform those who reverse the sequence.

Energy market research is now a strategic function, not a support function. The leadership teams that treat it that way are building the pipelines, partnerships, and platforms that will define the next generation of energy infrastructure.

How SIS International’s Energy Market Research Helps Businesses

SIS International offers comprehensive energy market research and consulting services to help businesses navigate the complexities of the energy sector and achieve their strategic objectives. Here's how our expertise can benefit businesses:

Zmniejsz ryzyko:

Our energy market research helps businesses identify and mitigate risks associated with market volatility, regulatory changes, and technological disruptions. By providing insights into market trends, competitor strategies, and regulatory environments, we enable businesses to make informed decisions that minimize risks and protect investments.

Zwiększ przychody:

Businesses can uncover untapped market opportunities through our market research and consulting services, identify unmet customer needs, and develop targeted strategies to capture market share and drive revenue growth. Whether entering new markets, launching new products, or expanding customer segments, our insights and recommendations help businesses maximize revenue potential.

Oszczędzaj pieniądze:

By leveraging our energy market research, businesses can optimize resource allocation, streamline operations, and reduce costs across the value chain. Our analyses identify inefficiencies, cost-saving opportunities, and optimization strategies that enable businesses to achieve operational excellence and improve profitability.

Oszczędzaj czas:

Our efficient and timely delivery of market research insights enables businesses to accelerate decision-making processes, expedite market entry, and capitalize on time-sensitive opportunities. By providing actionable recommendations and timely updates on market developments, we help businesses stay ahead of the competition and seize opportunities before they disappear.

Przyspiesz wzrost i innowację:

Our energy market research uncovers emerging trends, disruptive technologies, and innovative business models that drive growth and innovation in the energy sector. By identifying market gaps, customer needs, and innovation opportunities, we empower businesses to innovate, differentiate themselves from competitors, and stay ahead of market trends.

Zwiększ ROI:

Our customized market research solutions deliver tangible results and measurable impact, helping businesses achieve a higher return on investment (ROI) from their marketing and business development initiatives. We enable businesses to maximize ROI and achieve long-term success.

Energy Market Research Solutions

The world’s most influential energy companies look to us for critical insight into an ever-changing and unpredictable industry. We bring over 40+ years of experience and expertise, providing.

  • Wywiad konkurencyjny
  • Messaging Campaigns
  • Grupy fokusowe
  • Wywiady z ekspertami
  • Strategic Market Analysis

Market Research helps industry players to understand trends, attitudes, opinions, and purchasing processes. It delivers forecast figures and studies seasonal patterns. It details the industry’s drivers and challenges. It also provides supply chain analysis and explores growth challenges at different levels. It looks at joint venture and partnership possibilities. Qualitative studies also have the advantage of delivering a competitive market analysis. It profiles critical players and examines supply and demand situations in the industry.

We provide access to decision-makers in the energy industry. These decision-makers are responsible for the business, including approving significant investment options. They also include site/facility managers, who are responsible for delivering services and operations. Key decision-makers include Finance Managers, Environmental Managers, and Business Improvement Managers.

Market Research also provides quantitative data. This data enables firms to track switching behaviors. It can also track market engagement in the non-domestic energy sector. It also helps them to understand current supply practices and provisions. It provides insight into the involvement of businesses with contracts. It also measures the extent to which specific trends apply.

Strategy Research helps firms to understand the competition and new areas of opportunity. It helps them to see what their position in the energy sector is, and how their business is performing. It also shows them the unique strengths that they have to offer. It demonstrates how their sustainable competitive advantage would look. It gives firms the best roadmap to get there, starting from where they are now.

Często zadawane pytania

What is energy market research and why does it matter for capital allocation?

Energy market research combines primary interviews, competitive intelligence, and regulatory analysis to inform capital decisions on generation, storage, and grid assets. It matters because traditional load and price forecasts no longer capture demand shifts, technology substitution, or offtaker behavior.

How should companies assess investment risk in renewable energy projects?

Stress-test basis risk, shape risk, and counterparty concentration together, and model the merchant tail beyond the PPA term. Single-tenant hyperscaler contracts require the same scrutiny as multi-buyer structures because concentration risk compounds over asset life.

What is driving demand for supercritical CO2 turbines and long-duration storage?

Firm capacity obligations, industrial decarbonization mandates, and gas peaker retirements are creating buyer interest in sCO2 turbines and long-duration storage as clean, dispatchable alternatives. Buying committees are wider and evaluation cycles longer than for conventional thermal assets.

How is demand response program design evolving?

Static peak-shaving programs are giving way to dynamic dispatch across residential batteries, EV chargers, smart thermostats, and industrial loads. The design work now depends on granular customer segmentation rather than aggregate load studies.

What separates leading energy market research programs from average ones?

Leaders combine secondary sizing with primary B2B expert interviews across the full buying committee, run competitive intelligence continuously, and tie every research question to a specific capital decision. Followers commission research after the decision is already made.

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O firmie SIS International

SIS Międzynarodowy oferuje badania ilościowe, jakościowe i strategiczne. Dostarczamy dane, narzędzia, strategie, raporty i spostrzeżenia do podejmowania decyzji. Prowadzimy również wywiady, ankiety, grupy fokusowe i inne metody i podejścia do badań rynku. Skontaktuj się z nami dla Twojego kolejnego projektu badania rynku.

Zdjęcie autora

Ruth Stanat

Założycielka i CEO SIS International Research & Strategy. Posiada ponad 40-letnie doświadczenie w planowaniu strategicznym i globalnym wywiadzie rynkowym, jest zaufanym globalnym liderem w pomaganiu organizacjom w osiąganiu międzynarodowego sukcesu.

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