{"id":21206,"date":"2016-12-09T18:41:40","date_gmt":"2016-12-09T18:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sisinternational.com\/?page_id=21206"},"modified":"2026-01-26T18:35:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T23:35:10","slug":"%e3%83%81%e3%83%a3%e3%83%99%e3%82%b9%e6%94%bf%e6%a8%a9%e5%be%8c%e3%81%ae%e5%8d%b1%e6%a9%9f%e7%9a%84%e7%8a%b6%e6%b3%81-%e3%83%99%e3%83%8d%e3%82%ba%e3%82%a8%e3%83%a9","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.sisinternational.com\/ja\/%e5%87%ba%e7%89%88%e7%89%a9\/%e3%83%81%e3%83%a3%e3%83%99%e3%82%b9%e6%94%bf%e6%a8%a9%e5%be%8c%e3%81%ae%e5%8d%b1%e6%a9%9f%e7%9a%84%e7%8a%b6%e6%b3%81-%e3%83%99%e3%83%8d%e3%82%ba%e3%82%a8%e3%83%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u8abf\u67fb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u8abf\u67fb<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
\"SIS<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u4f59\u6ce2<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Since the death of charismatic United Socialist Party leader Hugo Chavez in 2013, Venezuela has struggled during the presidential tenure of his hand-picked successor, Nicol\u00e1s Maduro. With a one-product economy based almost entirely on oil production, the financial fortunes and the quality of life for many in Venezuela have plummeted in direct relationship to world oil prices. Already in decline during Chavez\u2019s waning years in office, under Maduro the decline has devolved into an outright collapse. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Price controls are in effect to protect consumers from runaway inflation and currency has been shockingly devalued. Exports are shutting down, and companies continue to leave the country or close down. Inflation has risen into triple-digit territory \u2013 the highest in the world \u2013 and salaries are far from keeping pace. Crime is on the upswing in Caracas and to a greater degree in the interior of the country. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"SIS<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u300c\u56fd\u6c11\u306e\u4e0d\u5b89\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u6df1\u523b\u5316\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3092\u6050\u308c\u3066\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u534a\u5206\u7a7a\u3063\u307d\u306e\u5e97\u3067\u4e0d\u6e80\u3092\u62b1\u304f\u8cb7\u3044\u7269\u5ba2\u306e\u5217\u3092\u5236\u5fa1\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u8ecd\u968a\u3092\u6d3e\u9063\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306f\u914d\u7d66\u5236\u5ea6\u3092\u5c0e\u5165\u3057\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u304c\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b\u5e97\u3067\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u7269\u5ba2\u306e\u5165\u5834\u3092\u90312\u65e5\u306b\u5236\u9650\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u30d6\u30eb\u30fc\u30e0\u30d0\u30fc\u30b0<\/i> cynically put it, \u201cVenezuela reduces lines by trimming shoppers, not shortages.\u201d.1<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u554f\u984c\u3092\u89e3\u6c7a\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\uff1f<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

World oil prices historically fluctuate. While they are presently at rock bottom, most industry prognosticators feel that prices will inevitably rise once again. Unfortunately for big oil-producing nations such as Venezuela, just when this might occur is uncertain. Certainly, a normalizing of oil prices would help to keep Venezuela solvent and operative. At $70-$80-a-barrel, it could sustain itself and feed its people. Concurrently, if the people do better, the Chavista government stands a far better chance of enduring. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6700\u8fd1\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306b \u30dc\u30a4\u30b9\u30fb\u30aa\u30d6\u30fb\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab<\/i>, \u201cVenezuela is among the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries most deeply wounded by the oil price fall. Its need for OPEC to cut supply to support prices has failed to shift the stance of Saudi Arabia and its Gulf OPEC allies, which are focusing on protecting market share.\u201d2 Sans<\/a> assurances from Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Russia and other petroleum-rich nations to curb production, the immediate financial outlook for Venezuela is grim.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, other problems existed before the bottom fell out of the oil market. Even if and when oil prices rise, Venezuela will have to deal with its broken system, price controls, gas subsidies, rationing, and inadequate food supplies. Paying off creditors won\u2019t help a hungry populace. An influx of cash also won\u2019t restore political freedoms. Ch\u00e1vez and Maduro dealt with a lot of problems by throwing money at them. With the money gone, that\u2019s no longer possible. At best, a new infusion of oil money might help them to kick the can down the road a bit further, but it\u2019s no magic bullet. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e3b\u7fa9\u304b\u5426\u304b\uff1f<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite all of the accusations leveled against it, the Chavista government of Venezuela built its legitimacy on fair electoral processes and relatively clean elections. Today, however, the playing field is uneven. The government controls all of the institutions and the people are unable to express their choices freely.\u00a0 <\/span>\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068 \u30c7\u30a4\u30ea\u30fc\u30d3\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8<\/i>\u300c\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u56fd\u4f1a\u306f\u00a0\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818<\/span><\/a>2013\u5e74\u306e\u5c31\u4efb\u4ee5\u6765\u30012\u5ea6\u76ee\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u4ee4\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7d71\u6cbb\u306e\uff08\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u8981\u8acb\uff09\u3092\u627f\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u884c\u653f\u6a29\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u7279\u5225\u304b\u3064\u62e1\u5927\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6a29\u9650\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u3053\u308c\u3092\u5e1d\u56fd\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3068\u6226\u3046\u305f\u3081\u306e\u63a8\u9032\u529b\u3068\u547c\u3093\u3060\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1 <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Venezuela has a long history of crony interests exploiting situations for their own gain. Even Chavez was seen as channeling the hatred of older political factions to obtain power. The Venezuelan constitution has been rewritten numerous times for political expediency. The State Assembly was often used as a rubber stamp to enforce Ch\u00e1vez\u2019s power.\u00a0 <\/span>\u8105\u8feb\u7684\u306a\u6226\u8853\u306f\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u66b4\u52d5\u3084\u66b4\u529b\u3092\u6247\u52d5\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u634f\u9020\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5bb9\u7591\u3067\u73fe\u5728\u6295\u7344\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30ec\u30aa\u30dd\u30eb\u30c9\u30fb\u30ed\u30da\u30b9\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u91ce\u515a\u6307\u5c0e\u8005\u3092\u9ed9\u3089\u305b\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u983b\u7e41\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3057\u3001\u4eca\u3082\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u306a\u6c5a\u8077\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u3067\u3001\u8ecd\u3082\u5171\u8b00\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u9577\u5e74\u9678\u8ecd\u5c06\u6821\u3092\u52d9\u3081\u305f\u30c7\u30a3\u30aa\u30b9\u30bf\u30c9\u30fb\u30ab\u30d9\u30ed\u306f\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u3068\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u8fd1\u3044\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3042\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u4eba\u304c\u5f7c\u304c\u5bc6\u304b\u306b\u300c\u5b9f\u6a29\u3092\u63e1\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u611f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30ab\u30d9\u30ed\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u9ebb\u85ac\u30ab\u30eb\u30c6\u30eb\u3078\u306e\u95a2\u4e0e\u3068\u7c73\u56fd\u3078\u306e\u30b3\u30ab\u30a4\u30f3\u5bc6\u8f38\u306e\u7591\u3044\u3067\u635c\u67fb\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u591a\u304f\u306e\u56fd\u3067\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u6a29\u529b\u5206\u7acb\u3068\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3067\u306f\u8ab0\u3082\u304c\u884c\u653f\u90e8\u9580\u306e\u547d\u4ee4\u306b\u5f93\u3063\u3066\u884c\u52d5\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Is Chavez Still A Hero to The Poor?<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Though it has been some time now since the passing of Hugo Chavez, his legacy and legend still live in Venezuela. This is especially true among the nation\u2019s poor and among Chavista leaders. \u201cSince Chavez\u2019s death after a battle with an undisclosed cancer in 2013, the government and the PSUV party have made great efforts to present him as a national hero and capitalize his legacy. President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro mentions Ch\u00e1vez<\/span> in almost every speech, urging people to follow his example.\u201d4\u00a0 It\u2019s true that no one has benefitted quite as much from attaching himself to Chavez\u2019s enduring popularity as Maduro. Since his Chavez-endorsed election, there have been chronic shortages, sporadic violence, inflation, and accusations of impropriety on many levels, but past association with Chavez allowed Maduro to cling to<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

power. However, when people can\u2019t eat and have no money, their patience can begin to erode. Even Maduro is playing the \u201cChavez card\u201d less and less, as it is a currency that no longer guarantees reverence or votes at election time. Many feel the true revolution died along with Chavez. Perhaps not even another compelling charismatic could revive it. From colorful murals on building exteriors to stories that still circulate among the faithful, Chavez image and his savior-status among the poor still survives, due to his personal magnetism, the work he did for the disadvantaged, and the way he stood up to and defied the establishment. The Oligopoly that he railed against did in fact exist, . It was a system that deeply entrenched the powers of a small group of the privileged <\/span>elite. Today, Maduro can still blame Venezuela\u2019s problems on these entitled few. It is this class-driven cleavage that makes governing extremely difficult. In truth, unless oil prices rebound and reverses the country\u2019s economic fortunes, these lingering echoes of Chavista glory may fade forever. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30dc\u30ea\u30d0\u30eb\u9769\u547d\u306e\u610f\u7fa9 <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"SIS<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30dc\u30ea\u30d0\u30eb\u9769\u547d\u306f20\u5e74\u306b\u5bcc\u306e\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u518d\u5206\u914d\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span>th<\/sup><\/span>21 \u4e16\u7d00\u306b\u5357\u7c73\u3067\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u77f3\u6cb9\u30d6\u30fc\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u904e\u53bb 16 \u5e74\u9593\u306e\u5b8c\u5168\u306a\u5909\u8c8c\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u77f3\u6cb9\u30d6\u30fc\u30e0\u306e\u304a\u304b\u3052\u3067\u3001\u30a6\u30b4\u30fb\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306f\u591a\u984d\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u60dc\u3057\u307f\u306a\u304f\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u7949\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u306b\u6295\u5165\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u306e\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306f\u5931\u6557\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u8ca7\u56f0\u5c64\u306f\u53f3\u6d3e\u306e\u652f\u914d\u4e0b\u3067\u306f\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u3055\u3089\u306b\u60aa\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3068\u611f\u3058\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u653f\u6a29\u3092\u652f\u6301\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u591a\u304f\u306e\u4eba\u3005\u306f\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u3092\u3055\u3089\u306b\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u53cd\u5bfe\u6d3e\u3092\u652f\u6301\u3059\u308b\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001\u9577\u3044\u884c\u5217\u3068\u5b89\u3044\u5546\u54c1\u306b\u8010\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u9078\u3073\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPrior to its current domestic woes, Venezuela worked hard and often succeeded in establishing itself as a major alternative influence in Latin America, as a kind of \u201cBolivarian\u201d power. Now, Venezuela must confront the fact that the conditions once anchoring its global aspirations \u2013 like excessive revenues generated by the petrostate \u2013 have evaporated. Venezuela\u2019s capabilities for international power projection are constrained by domestic unrest, \u56fd\u969b\u6e96\u5099\u91d1\u306e\u67af\u6e07<\/span><\/a>, \u6025\u6fc0\u306a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec<\/span>\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066 \u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u7523\u306e\u4f4e\u8ff7<\/span><\/a>\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u306a\u30dc\u30ea\u30d0\u30eb\u8a08\u753b\u3092\u5ef6\u9577\u3059\u308b\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u307e\u3059\u307e\u3059\u6697\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u300d<\/span>12<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u8cea\u7684\u306b\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u4eba\u306e\u7cbe\u795e\u3092\u72ec\u529b\u3067\u5909\u3048\u305f\u3002\u5f7c\u306f\u8ca7\u3057\u3044\u4eba\u3005\u306b\u529b\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3001\u5f7c\u3089\u3092\u653f\u6cbb\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u306b\u5c0e\u3044\u305f\u3002\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u306f\u4e0d\u4eba\u6c17\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u9769\u547d\u306e\u9f13\u52d5\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u4eba\u306e\u5fc3\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u307e\u3060\u9f13\u52d5\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u3088\u308a\u826f\u3044\u6642\u4ee3\u3092\u5fd8\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u91ce\u515a\u6307\u5c0e\u8005\u306f\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u652f\u6301\u8005\u306e\u652f\u6301\u3092\u5f97\u3088\u3046\u3068\u30dd\u30d4\u30e5\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u7684\u306a\u7d04\u675f\u3092\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u306e\u4e0d\u4fe1\u611f\u306f\u5f37\u3044\u3002\u9769\u547d\u306e\u6839\u6e90\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u683c\u5dee\u3092\u306a\u304f\u3059\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3042\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u8150\u6557\u304c\u305d\u306e\u610f\u56f3\u3092\u6291\u5727\u3057\u305f\u3002\u56fd\u969b\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u6839\u5f37\u3044\u611f\u60c5\u306f\u8105\u5a01\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4ed6\u306e\u4eba\u3005\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3044\u304b\u306b\u758e\u5916\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3082\u751f\u304d\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u5e0c\u671b\u306e\u5922\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u516c\u6c11\u6a29\u3001\u4eba\u6a29\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u8ca7\u56f0\u5c64\u306e\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u2026 <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Venezuela today, there is growing discontent and repression. There are long lines with hundreds of people waiting for subsidized food and supplies. Among the ranks of the waiting there is hatred, aggression and fear. The people, while not starving, are surely struggling and crime is escalating to the point where the people no longer feel safe. The police who might protect the citizenry are corrupt. It is estimated that of all the homicides committed in Venezuela (and it has one of the highest murder rates in the world) only 3% of perpetrators are ever prosecuted. The country\u2019s prisons are among the world\u2019s worst according to the U.N. At the root of this crime-wave is social inequality and the great and widening gulf between the haves and the have-nots that dates back over 100 years.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30a6\u30b4\u30fb\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u7fa9\u306f\u3053\u306e\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u7d50\u5c40\u306f\u5931\u6557\u306b\u7d42\u308f\u3063\u305f\u3002\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u306f\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u30dd\u30d4\u30e5\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u80fd\u529b\u3092\u5931\u3063\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u751f\u3058\u305f\u7d76\u671b\u306f\u3001\u72af\u7f6a\u3001\u5bc6\u8f38\u3001\u95c7\u53d6\u5f15\u306e\u6025\u5897\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u7a76\u6975\u7684\u306b\u306f\u7121\u76ca\u306a\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u52b4\u50cd\u610f\u6b32\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5f62\u3067\u73fe\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u00a0 <\/span>Those who managed to escape poverty during Chavez\u2019 glory years now find themselves slipping back into it. Segregation is evident and the pall of depression is palpable in the air. In addition, Venezuela is suffering from acute \u982d\u8133\u6d41\u51fa<\/i>\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u3001\u533b\u5e2b\u3001\u30a8\u30f3\u30b8\u30cb\u30a2\u3001\u5f01\u8b77\u58eb\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u304c\u3001\u3088\u308a\u4e0d\u5b89\u5b9a\u3067\u306a\u3044\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u62e0\u70b9\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u56fd\u3092\u96e2\u308c\u308b\u5927\u79fb\u52d5\u3067\u3059\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u516c\u8077\u3092\u76ee\u6307\u3059\u4eba\u3005\u3084\u5f7c\u3089\u306b\u8cdb\u6210\u307e\u305f\u306f\u53cd\u5bfe\u7968\u3092\u6295\u3058\u308b\u4eba\u3005\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u304c\u653f\u6cbb\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u307e\u3059\u307e\u3059\u6575\u5bfe\u7684\u306a\u5834\u6240\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u304d\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30fb\u30e9\u30a4\u30c4\u30fb\u30a6\u30a9\u30c3\u30c1\u306e\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u5927\u9678\u62c5\u5f53\u30c7\u30a3\u30ec\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u3001\u30db\u30bb\u30fb\u30df\u30b2\u30eb\u30fb\u30d3\u30d0\u30f3\u30b3\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u300c\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u653f\u5e9c\u306f\u53f8\u6cd5\u5236\u5ea6\u3092\u8868\u5411\u304d\u306b\u5229\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u88c1\u5224\u5b98\u3084\u691c\u5bdf\u5b98\u304c\u5f93\u9806\u306a\u5175\u58eb\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u5f53\u5c40\u306f\u6a29\u529b\u3092\u4e71\u7528\u3057\u3066\u8868\u73fe\u306e\u81ea\u7531\u3092\u5236\u9650\u3057\u300112\u6708\u306b\u4e88\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u8b70\u4f1a\u9078\u6319\u3067\u7279\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30d7\u30f3\u3067\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u306a\u8b70\u8ad6\u3092\u640d\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u8a9e\u308b\u3002<\/span>5 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Various political leaders have been jailed, driven from the country, or sued. Of course, jailing political prisoners on trumped-up charges is a classic totalitarian approach. Intimidation is also an effective method of repression, and it\u2019s often done in such a way that the government can wash its hands of any implications of wrongdoing. Chavista thugs and motorcycle gangs have been known to terrorize journalists under the guise of being independent citizens. Even Twitter users on social media have been jailed for inflammatory comments concerning Maduro, instilling fear in not only journalists, but voters as well. Protests are met with harsh police crackdowns and the journalists who cover them routinely have their cameras confiscated or worse. It\u2019s estimated that 70-80 press members are presently imprisoned in Venezuela. Even the mayor of Caracas is under house arrest. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65b0\u8208\u306e\u30ea\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u3068\u5b9a\u7740\u3057\u305f\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u91ce\u515a\u6307\u5c0e\u8005\u306e\u902e\u6355\u307b\u3069\u6ce8\u76ee\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u305f\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u902e\u6355\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002 \u30ec\u30aa\u30dd\u30eb\u30c9\u30fb\u30ed\u30da\u30b9<\/b>\u3002 \u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30af\u30fb\u30bf\u30a4\u30e0\u30ba<\/i> \u300c\u30cf\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u30c9\u5927\u5b66\u5352\u3067\u30ab\u30e9\u30ab\u30b9\u3092\u69cb\u6210\u3059\u308b\u81ea\u6cbb\u4f53\u306e\u5143\u5e02\u9577\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30ed\u30da\u30b9\u6c0f\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u544a\u8a34\u306f\u60aa\u8cea\u3060\u3002\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u6c0f\u306f2014\u5e742\u6708\u306b\u540c\u6c0f\u306e\u902e\u6355\u3092\u547d\u3058\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30c7\u30e2\u304c\u5e83\u304c\u308b\u4e2d\u3001\u66b4\u529b\u3092\u717d\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u544a\u8a34\u3057\u305f\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u306f\u3001\u5211\u4e8b\u544a\u8a34\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u30ed\u30da\u30b9\u6c0f\u304c\u30b5\u30d6\u30ea\u30df\u30ca\u30eb\u30e1\u30c3\u30bb\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u56fd\u6c11\u3092\u66b4\u529b\u306b\u99c6\u308a\u7acb\u3066\u305f\u3068\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u306a\u4e3b\u5f35\u3092\u3057\u305f\u3002\u300d<\/span>6<\/span> \u73fe\u5728\u3001\u30ed\u30da\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f\u76e3\u7981\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5efa\u7269\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u552f\u4e00\u306e\u56da\u4eba\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u72ec\u623f\u3068\u81ea\u7531\u306e\u9593\u306b\u306f6\u3064\u306e\u9375\u306e\u304b\u304b\u3063\u305f\u30c9\u30a2\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3082\u3061\u308d\u3093\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u6c0f\u304c\u5f7c\u3092\u8105\u5a01\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5f7c\u306f\u6295\u7344\u3055\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, many feel there is a dearth of leadership in Venezuela. On the Chavista side, Chavez was able to nurture a cult of personality, but wherever this occurs, a charismatic tends to be surrounded by mediocrity. Case in point,\u00a0 <\/span>\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u3002\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u500b\u6027\u304c\u306a\u304f\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4eba\u6c17\u3082\u524d\u4efb\u8005\u307b\u3069\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u7834\u7dbb\u3057\u305f\u7d4c\u6e08\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u6301\u3064\u56fd\u5bb6\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6bd2\u676f\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u7d99\u3044\u3060\u306e\u3060\u3002\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c100%\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304d\u3001\u30ae\u30e3\u30f3\u30b0\u306b\u5229\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3001\u51f6\u60aa\u306a\u98df\u6599\u914d\u9054\u3068\u5316\u3057\u305fID\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30e0\u306e\u4e0b\u3067\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u308f\u305a\u304b\u306a\u914d\u7d66\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u4f55\u6642\u9593\u3082\u5217\u306b\u4e26\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u5834\u6240\u3092\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u60f3\u50cf\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3002\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30c7\u30a3\u30aa\u30b9\u30c0\u30c9\u30fb\u30ab\u30d9\u30ed<\/b>\u56fd\u4f1a\u8b70\u9577\u3001  <\/span>\u5f7c\u306f\u72e1\u733e\u3067\u51b7\u9177\u306a\u57f7\u884c\u8005\u3060\u304c\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u306e\u652f\u6301\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u8ecd\u4e8b\u653f\u6a29\u3084\u8ecd\u4e8b\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u6307\u5c0e\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5f53\u7136\u306e\u4eba\u7269\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002  <\/span>\u30ab\u30d9\u30ed\u306f\u91ce\u515a\u306e\u3088\u308a\u904e\u6fc0\u306a\u5206\u5b50\u3092\u523a\u6fc0\u3057\u3001\u52d5\u6a5f\u4ed8\u3051\u3001\u5fe0\u8aa0\u5fc3\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5f7c\u306e\u904e\u6fc0\u306a\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7d4c\u6e08\u653f\u7b56\u3068\u7279\u6a29\u7684\u306a\u7d4c\u6b74\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3067\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u4e3b\u7fa9\u652f\u6301\u8005\u306b\u306f\u53d7\u3051\u5165\u308c\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u91ce\u515a\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u5019\u88dc\u3001 \u30a8\u30f3\u30ea\u30b1\u30fb\u30ab\u30d7\u30ea\u30ec\u30b9<\/b>, is a major player with good support, but he may be seen among voters as a has-been. He has had chances in the past as an opposition leader to create change, so it is hard to imagine him creating much of a buzz. Chavista defector and Lara state Governor \u30a2\u30f3\u30ea\u30fb\u30d5\u30a1\u30eb\u30b3\u30f3<\/b> \u5f7c\u306f\u4e2d\u9053\u6d3e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4e2d\u9053\u306e\u7acb\u5834\u3092\u8cab\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u9577\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u76ee\u7acb\u305f\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u3079\u304d\u30c0\u30fc\u30af\u30db\u30fc\u30b9\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fox News.com\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c<\/span>\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u9078\u6319\u7ba1\u7406\u5f53\u5c40\u306f\u8457\u540d\u306a\u91ce\u515a\u6307\u5c0e\u8005\u3092\u62d2\u5426\u3057\u305f \u30de\u30ea\u30a2\u30fb\u30b3\u30ea\u30fc\u30ca\u30fb\u30de\u30c1\u30e3\u30c9<\/b>\u30de\u30c1\u30e3\u30c9\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u6765\u305f\u308b\u8b70\u4f1a\u9078\u6319\u306e\u5019\u88dc\u8005\u767b\u9332\u306e\u8a66\u307f\u3092\u5374\u4e0b\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30de\u30c1\u30e3\u30c9\u6c0f\u306f\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\uff082015\u5e749\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3001\u5168\u56fd\u9078\u6319\u7ba1\u7406\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u304c12\u67086\u65e5\u306e\u9078\u6319\u3078\u306e\u7acb\u5019\u88dc\u767b\u9332\u306e\u8a66\u307f\u3092\u5374\u4e0b\u3057\u305f\u3068\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30de\u30c1\u30e3\u30c9\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u7acb\u5019\u88dc\u306e\u5374\u4e0b\u306f\u5f7c\u5973\u306e\u6a29\u5229\u306e\u751a\u3060\u3057\u3044\u4fb5\u5bb3\u3060\u3068\u8a34\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/span>7<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u9078\u6319\uff1a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u8d77\u3053\u308a\u3046\u308b\u7d50\u679c<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"SIS<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Another government advantage is near outright ownership of the media airwaves. The opposition candidates, once they declare, are immediately intimidated by the government and not allowed to have adequate airtime. For the most part they are denigrated, criticized, and are said to be fomenting violence and unrest. Of course, if the Chavistas lose, they won\u2019t control all of the government anymore. In that event, they may attempt to enact laws that limit congressional power. Regardless of the outcome,\u00a0 <\/span>\u201cAccording to a leading Venezuelan polling organization, Datan\u00e1lisis, 84 percent of the population believes that the country is on the wrong path and only 13 percent view Venezuela\u2019s situation positively.\u201d8<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5831\u9053\u306e\u81ea\u7531\uff1f\u60c5\u5831\u306e\u8cea\uff1f <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u4ee5\u6765<\/span> <\/b>Nicol\u00e1s Maduro assumed power in Venezuela, journalistic opinion and information are allowed much less space in available publications. Local news outlets have been bought out by government supporters or have been driven out of business altogether, their resources often drained by ongoing court cases. In many instances they are refused permission to advertise or broadcast. Even worse, journalists are often jailed or fined by a wary government intent on neutralizing negative reports on\u00a0its conduct and policies. Freedom of the press is not altogether forbidden as it is in North Korea, but those who do publish anti-government content are almost sure to not be publishing much longer. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5831\u9053\u306e\u81ea\u7531\u3092\u6291\u5727\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u653f\u5e9c\u304c\u5c0e\u5165\u3057\u305f\u63aa\u7f6e\u3092\u56de\u907f\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc\u30cd\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u5229\u7528\u3057\u3001\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3084\u5916\u56fd\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3067\u306e\u51fa\u7248\u3092\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u306f\u30bd\u30fc\u30b7\u30e3\u30eb\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u3067\u306e\u8868\u73fe\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u884c\u52d5\u3092\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306b\u5426\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u5370\u8c61\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u30c4\u30a4\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u3057\u305f6\u4eba\u3092\u6295\u7344\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u81ea\u7531\u306a\u610f\u898b\u3092\u516c\u8868\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306e\u5371\u967a\u3068\u969c\u5bb3\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u3068\u62b5\u6297\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5831\u9053\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u306b\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u53b3\u3057\u3044\u7d4c\u6e08\u72b6\u6cc1\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u56fd\u5916\u7279\u6d3e\u54e1\u3092\u6b8b\u3057\u3066\u56fd\u5916\u3078\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The government is unable to crack down on foreign journalists because of the repercussions it would have internationally. No new reporters are coming in, but those already there have been allowed to stay. Ultimately, the government aims to negate local press outlets and mute the foreign journalists with a war of attrition. Social media is a helpful alternative to traditional delivery mediums, but money, resources, and talent are necessary for the production of substantial, informative reporting. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u304b\u3089\u306e\u8131\u51fa \u2015 \u30ca\u30b7\u30e7\u30ca\u30ea\u30ba\u30e0\u306e\u4ee3\u511f <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIn 2007, the Bolivarian government issued a law-decree nationalizing all remaining oil production sites under foreign control and mandating that all oil extraction in Venezuela be undertaken within the framework of joint ventures, in which the state oil company PDVSA retains the majority stake.\u00a0This move sparked a wave of lawsuits by foreign trans-nationals in international arbitration bodies demanding compensation for expropriated assets. In response, Venezuela withdrew from the ICSID in 2012, citing institutional bias in favor of transnational corporations on the part of the Washington-based body.\u00a0\u201c13<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Where once Venezuela was home to many large multi-national firms, today only a handful remain. It\u2019s difficult to make a profit because labor costs and the prices of goods are predetermined. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5927\u624b\u4f01\u696d\u306f\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u56de\u5fa9\u3092\u671f\u5f85\u3057\u3066\u6301\u3061\u3053\u305f\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u696d\u306b\u306f\u305d\u308c\u307b\u3069\u9577\u304f\u5f85\u3064\u4f59\u88d5\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5927\u624b\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f1a\u793e\u306f\u8ca1\u653f\u7684\u306b\u6253\u6483\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u7121\u8996\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56fd\u969b\u6295\u8cc7\u7d1b\u4e89\u89e3\u6c7a\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc\uff08ICSID\uff09\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u653f\u5e9c\u304c\u56fd\u6709\u5316\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3067\u4f01\u696d\u3092\u6ca1\u53ce\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e3b\u5f35\u3092\u542b\u3080\u4fc2\u4e89\u4e2d\u306e\u8a34\u8a1f\u304c\u591a\u6570\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30a8\u30af\u30bd\u30f3\u306f\u6700\u8fd1\u30012014\u5e74\u306b$1.6B\u306e\u8a34\u8a1f\u3067\u52dd\u8a34\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u540c\u56fd\u306f\u822a\u7a7a\u4f1a\u793e\u306b\u4f55\u5341\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u3082\u306e\u672a\u6255\u3044\u91d1\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5168\u4f53\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u306a\u77f3\u6cb9\u5229\u6a29\u3084\u5927\u4f01\u696d\u5168\u822c\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u5546\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u884c\u3046\u306e\u304c\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u5834\u6240\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u56fd\u3092\u96e2\u308c\u305f\u4eba\u3005\u306f\u3001\u3088\u308a\u53d7\u3051\u5165\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u653f\u5e9c\u304c\u767a\u8db3\u3059\u308b\u307e\u3067\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u4f4e\u3044\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u77f3\u6cb9\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u6027 <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u4e00\u6642\u671f\u3001\u30a6\u30b4\u30fb\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306e\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u304b\u3089\u306e\u3055\u3089\u306a\u308b\u72ec\u7acb\u3068\u81ea\u56fd\u306e\u8cc7\u6e90\u306e\u7ba1\u7406\u3092\u5207\u671b\u3059\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u306e\u56fd\u3005\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306e\u706f\u53f0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8f1d\u3044\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u00a0 <\/span>He was seen as that rare individual with the courage to stand up to the U.S. in defiance, and as a central figurehead in a worldwide alliance of left-leaning, socialistic powers. After world oil prices plummeted, the bottom fell out of Chavez\u2019s plans and his mystique was weakened.\u00a0 <\/span>\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u5f8c\u7d99\u8005\u306e\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u306f\u6fc0\u3057\u3044\u6f14\u8aac\u3092\u884c\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u306f\u63a7\u3048\u3081\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002 \u30da\u30c8\u30ed\u30ab\u30ea\u30d9\u3001 <\/i>\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3068\u30ab\u30ea\u30d6\u8af8\u56fd\u306b\u77f3\u6cb9\u3092\u4f9b\u7d66\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u306f\u3001\u8cc7\u91d1\u306e\u6d41\u308c\u304c\u6b62\u307e\u308b\u3068\u652f\u6301\u3092\u5931\u3063\u305f\u3002\u4eca\u65e5\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u821e\u53f0\u3067\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3092\u64c1\u8b77\u3059\u308b\u56fd\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u6b8b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

No doubt, Venezuela can still be a major provider of oil. They have the largest reserves in the world, but theirs is a viscous, hard-to-process type of petroleum product that is expensive to refine. With current prices at a nadir, Venezuela\u2019s role as an oil producer has diminished, and its position as a lion of socialism has been undermined, as well. Globally, they are still a top ten producer of oil and they are important in that regard. Presently, there is a glut of oil on the global market, but this will not always be\u00a0so. In the long-term, the world will need Venezuela\u2019s vast reserves to supply an unquenchable need for petroleum. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UBS\u306e\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30c6\u30b8\u30b9\u30c8\u3001\u30b8\u30e5\u30ea\u30a2\u30b9\u30fb\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30ab\u30fc\u6c0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u307e\u3068\u3081\u305f\u3002\u300c\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u56fd\u3067\u3059\u3002\u751f\u7523\u505c\u6b62\u306f\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u4fa1\u683c\u9ad8\u9a30\u3092\u62db\u304f\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u653f\u60c5\u4e0d\u5b89\u306b\u3088\u308b\u751f\u7523\u505c\u6b62\u306f\u307b\u307c\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u4fa1\u683c\u6025\u9a30\u3092\u62db\u304d\u3001\u7dcf\u751f\u7523\u4e0d\u8db3\u306f\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u6df1\u523b\u306a\u8ca0\u62c5\u3092\u304b\u3051\u308b\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u300d<\/span>9<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u77f3\u6cb9\u304c\u552f\u4e00\u306e\u7b54\u3048\u304b\uff1f <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ee5\u5916\u306b\u3082\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u9244\u9271\u77f3\u3001\u30a2\u30eb\u30df\u30cb\u30a6\u30e0\u3001\u91d1\u3001\u30c0\u30a4\u30e4\u30e2\u30f3\u30c9\u3001\u5929\u7136\u30ac\u30b9\u306a\u3069\u8c4a\u5bcc\u306a\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u306b\u6075\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u306f\u591a\u69d8\u5316\u304c\u8a66\u307f\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u306b\u306f\u77f3\u6cb9\u304c20\u304b\u56fd\u4e2d\u3092\u652f\u914d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span>th<\/sup><\/span> 21 \u4e16\u7d00\u4ee5\u964d\u3082\u77f3\u6cb9\u306f\u751f\u7523\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u4f4e\u304b\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u751f\u7523\u624b\u6bb5\u306e\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u306f\u4e8b\u5b9f\u4e0a\u8b70\u8ad6\u306e\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3082\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u306b\u306f\u83ab\u5927\u306a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u3001\u591a\u69d8\u5316\u306e\u53d6\u308a\u7d44\u307f\u3092\u59a8\u3052\u308b\u8cc7\u672c\u3068\u8ca1\u7523\u6a29\u306e\u554f\u984c\u306a\u3069\u3001\u767a\u5c55\u306e\u969c\u5bb3\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u8ca1\u52d9\u5927\u81e3\u30d5\u30ea\u30aa\u30fb\u30bd\u30b5\u30fb\u30ed\u30c9\u30ea\u30b2\u30b9\u306f\u30ab\u30e9\u30ab\u30b9\u3067\u306e\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u3067\u3001\u3053\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u3046\u307e\u304f\u8981\u7d04\u3057\u3066\u3053\u3046\u8a9e\u3063\u305f\u3002\u300c\u79c1\u306e\u4e16\u4ee3\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u304c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e88\u7b97\u306e\u534a\u5206\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306b\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u3080\u306e\u306f\u521d\u3081\u3066\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u904e\u53bb20\u5e74\u9593\u3067\u6700\u3082\u611a\u304b\u306a\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u3092\u591a\u69d8\u5316\u3057\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u300d<\/span>10         <\/span><\/span>\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u5b89\u5b9a\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u6295\u8cc7\u3057\u3066\u652f\u63f4\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u304b\u306a\u308a\u306e\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8cc7\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5b9f\u73fe\u3055\u308c\u3001\u6210\u679c\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u30c1\u30e3\u30f3\u30b9\u304c\u751f\u307e\u308c\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Venezuela\u2019s Relationship with Other Latin American Governments <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The left-wing governments of Ecuador, Cuba, Argentina, and Bolivia have historically had alliances with Venezuela. These affiliations are based more upon ideology than on copying Venezuela as an economic model. Latin American ties were especially strong when Chavez ruled and money and oil were flowing. However, relationships have deteriorated noticeably under the Maduro regime. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brazil pretends to have decent relations with Venezuela, but there is no real respect for Maduro that isn\u2019t based on fear of his power and of losing access to Venezuela\u2019s ready supply of oil. After all, Venezuela used to give money to their allies, but in light of its current economic woes, those days are gone. Some Caribbean nations such as Barbados rely on Venezuela for oil, so they are reticent to speak out against Maduro in any meaningful way. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the embattled leader is struggling to hold together his frayed alliances, human rights groups are leaning hard on Latin American countries to hold the Venezuelan government accountable for its many transgressions against its political prisoners. Columbia has raised its voice to the issue, but it shares a border with Venezuela and isn\u2019t too anxious to pick a fight. Cuba has long shared left-leaning proclivities with Venezuela, but their recent thawing of relations with the U.S. has placed Maduro in an awkward position given the vitriol and disdain he regularly aims at Washington and Obama.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u3068\u4e2d\u56fd\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3069\u3046\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b? <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

If Venezuela is a strong ally of Russia and China, the relationship is mostly superficial. Venezuela has offered the two world powers a place to sell their products on preferential terms. The loans they have given are typically based on contractual obligations for the selling of Russian and Chinese products. When times were better, sales were good and everyone was happy, but today the business is winding down.\u00a0 <\/span>Russia claims continued alliance, but they have trouble dealing with of their own. It is China that has continued to lend to Venezuela, even when getting paid back for these loans seems unlikely. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u8a8c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30fc\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u30019\u67081\u65e5\u306b\u653e\u6620\u3055\u308c\u305f\u9031\u520a\u30c6\u30ec\u30d3\u756a\u7d44\u3067\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u304b\u3089\u306e1\u51464500\u5104\u306e\u65b0\u305f\u306a\u878d\u8cc7\u3092\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u30022\u6642\u9593\u306e\u756a\u7d44\uff08\u300c\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30fc\u30ed\u3068\u306e\u63a5\u89e6\u300d\u3001\u300cEn contacto con Maduro\u300d\uff09\u3067\u3001\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u5951\u7d04\u304c\u7de0\u7d50\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5175\u304c\u884c\u9032\u3059\u308b\u6620\u50cf\u3068\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u5b98\u3089\u3068\u592a\u9f13\u3092\u6f14\u594f\u3059\u308b\u81ea\u8eab\u306e\u6620\u50cf\u3092\u6d41\u3057\u305f\u3002\u2026\u878d\u8cc7\u306f\u77f3\u6cb9\u3067\u8fd4\u6e08\u3055\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u8b70\u4f1a\u306e\u627f\u8a8d\u306f\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\uff08\u6b63\u5f0f\u306b\u306f\u50b5\u52d9\u3068\u306f\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\uff09\u3002\u300d<\/span>11 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

China\u2019s place at the bargaining table is solid and they are not giving the money away for free. The strings are inevitably tied to the provision of a steady supply of oil in the future. Like Russia, China is dealing with its own economic turndown. Venezuela is located far away from China and the cost of refining the plentiful but viscous oil supply will be very expensive. The Chinese have made similar deals in Africa, leveraging present-day loans for long-term provisions of much-needed oil. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56fd\u969b\u7684\u306a\u540c\u76df\u56fd\u3068\u6575\u56fd<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3068\u4ed6\u306e\u56fd\u3005\u306e\u540c\u76df\u3084\u53cb\u597d\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\u3001\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u91d1\u92ad\u3001\u5de6\u6d3e\u653f\u6cbb\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a8d\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u3001\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u3001\u30b7\u30ea\u30a2\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u3044\u304b\u306a\u308b\u95a2\u4fc2\u3082\u672c\u8cea\u7684\u306b\u306f\u7d14\u7c8b\u306b\u91d1\u92ad\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a4\u30c7\u30aa\u30ed\u30ae\u30fc\u306f\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u8003\u616e\u4e8b\u9805\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u3069\u306e\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e3b\u7fa9\u56fd\u5bb6\u3082\u3001\u307b\u307c\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u653f\u5e9c\u306b\u53cd\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30ad\u30e5\u30fc\u30d0\u306f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306e\u9577\u5e74\u306e\u601d\u60f3\u7684\u540c\u76df\u56fd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u306e\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u6539\u5584\u306f\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u554f\u984c\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3068\u30ad\u30e5\u30fc\u30d0\u306f\u9577\u5e74\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u60aa\u3092\u975e\u96e3\u3057\u3001\u5354\u529b\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002\u30ad\u30e5\u30fc\u30d0\u306e180\u5ea6\u8ee2\u63db\u306f\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u3092\u56f0\u60d1\u3055\u305b\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5f7c\u306e\u6b63\u5f53\u6027\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u306b\u7591\u554f\u3092\u6295\u3052\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brazil\u2019s friendship with Venezuela is of great importance to the Maduro government as Brazil is in good economic shape. Elsewhere, Algeria, Palestine, and the Assad regime in Syria have shown an alliance to the Venezuelan<\/span> government. Some believe that Maduro\u2019s regime has been somehow complicit in helping Iran to conceal its ongoing nuclear development program. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6575\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a00\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u304c\u30ca\u30f3\u30d0\u30fc\u30ef\u30f3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u7591\u3044\u3088\u3046\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u304c\u81ea\u5206\u3092\u6697\u6bba\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u57f7\u62d7\u306b\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4e3b\u5f35\u306b\u306f\u30b8\u30e7\u30fc\u30fb\u30d0\u30a4\u30c7\u30f3\u526f\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u3082\u95a2\u4e0e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u307e\u3067\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30aa\u30d0\u30de\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306b\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3092\u5e1d\u56fd\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3068\u6c7a\u3081\u3064\u3051\u308b\u7406\u7531\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u6700\u5584\u3092\u5c3d\u304f\u3057\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u6539\u5584\u306b\u52aa\u3081\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002\u4ed6\u306e\u9762\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30b9\u30da\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u3068\u30a4\u30c7\u30aa\u30ed\u30ae\u30fc\u7684\u306b\u5bfe\u7acb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u898b\u3089\u308c\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30f3\u30d3\u30a2\u306f\u9593\u9055\u3044\u306a\u304f\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306e\u6012\u308a\u3092\u8cb7\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u306e\u65b0\u305f\u306a\u5bfe\u8a71\uff1f<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"SIS<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3068\u306e\u4ea4\u6e09\u306f\u3001\u305b\u3044\u305c\u3044\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u63d0\u6848\u3060\u3002\u7d50\u5c40\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3001\u5f7c\u3068\u5f7c\u306e\u524d\u4efb\u8005\u3067\u3042\u308b\u6545\u30a6\u30b4\u30fb\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u306f\u3001\u9577\u5e74\u3001\u5f7c\u3089\u306e\u5fcc\u307f\u5acc\u3046\u5317\u306e\u96a3\u56fd\u3092\u4e2d\u50b7\u3057\u3001\u53cd\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u306e\u6bd2\u820c\u3092\u5410\u304d\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3046\u306f\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u4e21\u56fd\u9593\u306e\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u5354\u8b70\u306f\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u7d99\u7d9a\u4e2d\u3060\u3002\u30ed\u30a4\u30bf\u30fc\u901a\u4fe1\u304c\u6700\u8fd1\u5831\u3058\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306b\u2026 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u3068 \u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9<\/span><\/a> \u7c73\u653f\u5e9c\u9ad8\u5b98\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e21\u56fd\u306f\u967a\u60aa\u306a\u95a2\u4fc2\u306e\u6539\u5584\u3092\u76ee\u6307\u3057\u3001\u3053\u3053\u6570\u5e74\u3067\u6700\u3082\u5e83\u7bc4\u306a\u5bfe\u8a71\u306b\u4e57\u308a\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u898f\u6a21\u306f\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u5831\u3058\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u9759\u304b\u306a\u5916\u4ea4\u306f\u3001\u5171\u7523\u4e3b\u7fa9\u56fd\u30ad\u30e5\u30fc\u30d0\u3068\u306e\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u7dca\u5f35\u7de9\u548c\u304c\u3001\u30e9\u30c6\u30f3\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u56f0\u96e3\u306a\u95a2\u4fc2\u306e\u518d\u69cb\u7bc9\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5146\u5019\u3060\u3002\u9ad8\u5b98\u7d1a\u4f1a\u8ac7\u3092\u76f4\u63a5\u77e5\u308b\u3053\u306e\u9ad8\u5b98\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u306f\u307e\u3060\u521d\u671f\u6bb5\u968e\u3060\u3068\u8b66\u544a\u3057\u305f\u3002\u30e9\u30c6\u30f3\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3067\u6700\u3082\u71b1\u70c8\u306a\u53cd\u30ef\u30b7\u30f3\u30c8\u30f3\u653f\u5e9c\u3067\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f9b\u7d66\u56fd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u306e\u56fd\u306b\u3088\u308b\u95a2\u4fc2\u6539\u5584\u306e\u53d6\u308a\u7d44\u307f\u306f\u3001\u30cb\u30b3\u30e9\u30b9\u30fb\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30fc\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u304c\u3001\u7dca\u5bc6\u306a\u540c\u76df\u56fd\u30ad\u30e5\u30fc\u30d0\u3068\u306e\u7c73\u56fd\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u6539\u5584\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5b64\u7acb\u3092\u6df1\u3081\u305f\u8870\u9000\u3059\u308b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5c0e\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u82e6\u6226\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e2d\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/span>14<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For the U.S, having a failed state in Venezuela is not a good thing. It creates increased security issues and opens the door to escalation in drug trafficking activities. The DEA has been investigating high-ranking Venezuelan officials for believed involvement in drug-related criminality. To mollify the U.S., some arrests have been made in relation to the investigations. One possible scenario sees the U.S. providing financial aid to Venezuela, though some doubt this will happen. In the pursuit of U.S. dollars, it\u2019s reported that the Venezuelan Head of the Assemblage, Diosdado Cabello recently met in Haiti with U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Shannon. In the meantime, Maduro continues to vent on TV against the U.S., blaming it for most of Venezuela\u2019s ills. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u707d\u5bb3\u306f\u3059\u3050\u305d\u3053\u306b\u8feb\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite loans from China to keep it economically solvent and ongoing relations with the U.S. portending possible relief for Venezuelans, day-to-day<\/span> life is still miserable for millions. Long lines of poor people stand in line for food and supplies. Constant shortages provide unending aggravation. Crime threatens the very lives of a vulnerable population. Many say that short of a quick and demonstrative intervention of some type, Venezuela may soon be heading off the cliff. This makes the coming elections even more important. With external debts mounting and oil prices remaining low month after month, conditions are perfect for a cataclysm of the highest order. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30d0\u30fc\u30af\u30ec\u30a4\u30ba\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306f\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u60aa\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u5371\u6a5f\u306b\u9665\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u751f\u7523\u91cf\u306f9.1%\u6e1b\u5c11\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u60f3\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30022014\u5e74\u304b\u30892016\u5e74\u306e\u9593\u306b\u7d4c\u6e08\u53ce\u7e2e\u7387\u306f16.5%\u306b\u9054\u3059\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3089\u308c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u9593\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u306f1,000%\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u300d<\/span>15<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The middle-class continues to protest, but unless they are joined by the poor, creating numbers too big to be ignored, little will change. True, petrol bombs, thrown stones, unrest, and violence can lead to an awareness that might affect real change, but without organization and leadership, such protests stand little chance of uniting huge amounts of people and of being effective. With Venezuelan citizens so hungry and angry, it\u2019s not hard to see why Chavez-worship is on the wane. An epochal event might be necessary to usher in a new era for the nation and to reinvigorate its beleaguered markets. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u306f\u2026<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most experts agree that things will get worse in Venezuela before they get better. Even if oil prices rise, the best that might be expected is a few more years of \u201ckicking the can down the road.\u201d The country\u2019s debts are astronomical. There isn\u2019t enough food. Problems are myriad to the point that it may take decades for Venezuela to sift through the wreckage wrought by Chavez\u2019s experiment, and by the fickle<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u672c\u8cea\u3002\u4e88\u60f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u4e3b\u7fa9\u306e\u6ca1\u843d\u304c\u3059\u3050\u306b\u89e3\u6c7a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3068\u3082\u6697\u95c7\u304b\u3089\u629c\u3051\u51fa\u3059\u306e\u306b\u9577\u304f\u82e6\u3057\u3044\u95d8\u3044\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u306e\u304b\u306f\u307e\u3060\u5206\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u89e3\u6c7a\u6cd5\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u65e7\u6765\u306e\u5be1\u982d\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u306e\u610f\u5fd7\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u306e\u4fe1\u4efb\u3092\u5fc5\u8981\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Will a moderate such as Capriles provide the bridge to unite right and left in Venezuela? Can Chinese loans stave off default? China may well be tiring of waiting for its<\/span> return on investment to pay dividends. On the upside, Venezuela is sitting on a sea of oil, and there is no doubt that eventually, the world will need it. Oil prices are bound to rise and when that happens, Venezuela will be well-positioned to reap the benefits. Investors, meanwhile, are in a wait-and-see mode. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

LFPress.com \u3088\u308a: \u300c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u60aa\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3057\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306b\u306f\u6025\u901f\u306b\u9ad8\u307e\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3068\u60aa\u5316\u3059\u308b\u8ca1\u653f\u74b0\u5883\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5f37\u529b\u306a\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u8b1b\u3058\u308b\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u610f\u601d\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u300d  <\/span>\u5b9f\u969b\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u5e83\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u56fd\u6c11\u306e\u4e0d\u6e80\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u304c\u6297\u8b70\u6d3b\u52d5\u306e\u518d\u71c3\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u75db\u307f\u3092\u4f34\u3046\u6539\u9769\u3092\u5b9f\u65bd\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u306e\u4e0d\u6e80\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u9ad8\u307e\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u300d<\/span>16<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4eca\u5f8c\u306f\u3069\u306e\u9053\u3092\u9032\u3080\u3079\u304d\u304b\uff1f <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As improbable as it sounds, many feel the best course of action for Venezuela to take regarding its future would be to form a transitional government with representation from all sides, in the interest of national solidarity. This would include the opposition, the Chavista government, and the military. Some feel that painful austerity measures presented by a unified front are needed in order to stabilize the economy. The IMF could provide emergency funding. The people will decide who they want to lead through fair elections monitored by the international community. The ultimate goal would be to achieve some type of peaceful democratic transition. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u63d0\u6848\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4ed6\u306e\u89e3\u6c7a\u7b56\u306b\u306f\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u70ba\u66ff\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u5207\u308a\u4e0b\u3052\u3066\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u304c\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u306b\u623b\u308b\u3088\u3046\u4fc3\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3082\u542b\u307e\u308c\u308b\u3002\u77f3\u6cb9\u696d\u754c\u3068\u56fd\u969b\u6295\u8cc7\u306e\u89b3\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u306f\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u3068\u305d\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u4e0d\u4fe1\u611f\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u305f\u3081\u3001\u91ce\u515a\u306e\u7d71\u5236\u306f\u6539\u5584\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u8870\u9000\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30de\u30c9\u30a5\u30ed\u653f\u6a29\u304c\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u4fee\u5fa9\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u56f0\u96e3\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u305d\u3046\u306f\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001  <\/span>\u5931\u6557\u306b\u3082\u95a2\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30c1\u30e3\u30d9\u30b9\u4e3b\u7fa9\u3092\u652f\u6301\u3057\u3001\u9769\u547d\u306e\u5fa9\u6d3b\u306b\u5e0c\u671b\u3092\u62b1\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maduro still has four years left to rule, but it\u2019s hard to imagine him surviving that long as badly as things have been. Should the urban poor mobilize and show their extreme discontent in the streets, Maduro\u2019s tenure could be shortened. In an interesting article in the Huffington Post recently, this assessment was published \u2026 <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u30d9\u30cd\u30ba\u30a8\u30e9\u4eba\u304c\u672c\u5f53\u306b\u671b\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e <\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most experts feel that the wants of the Venezuelan people are actually not so complex or impossible to satisfy. Like everyone, they wish for the basics; food, shelter, and clothing. They want to be able to eat and have a minimal amount of purchasing power. As one insider put it, \u201cthey want a peaceful nation with plenty to eat, drink, decent beaches, and they will be happy.\u201d Venezuelans also want to be heard, to have a voice, a vote, and honest representation. In addition, they insist on a decent education for their children. <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30e8\u30fc\u30af\u306e\u65bd\u8a2d\u6240\u5728\u5730<\/h2>\n